Tuesday, May 11, 2021


US Dollar (USD) v/s Russian Ruble (RUB)
USD 1 buys 74.141 RUB

Index (Click on tabs to view details)

Currency Dashboard & Past Week

The US Dollar has decreased 17.71 Russian Kopek (or 0.2%) from its last trading session of May 10, 2021 to close at RUB74.14.

Currency Dashboard


Trading CountryUSD: United States Of AmericaTrading CountryRUB: Russia
11 May, Close USD/RUB 74.141411 May, Close RUB/USD 0.0135
1-day change (%)USD down 0.2383%1-day change (%)RUB down 0.037%
YTD change (%)USD up 0.1%YTD change (%)RUB up 0.8%
Relative Strength (6 mo)22.1Relative Strength (6 mo)74.3


+    The USD is down 1.0% against the RUB in the past week.
+    The exchange rate ranged between a low of 73.7481 on Friday, May 07 and a high of 74.8846 on Wednesday, May 05.
DayUS DollarClose (RUB)Change %Comment
WednesdayFalls for a third consecutive day, a three-day fall of 0.4% vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)74.8846-0.04Week-high of 74.8846
ThursdayFalls in 4 out of last 5 days vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)74.2399-0.9Steepest Fall
FridayFalls for a fifth consecutive day, a five-day fall of 1.9% vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)73.7481-0.7Week-low of 73.7481
MondayIncreases 0.8% vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)74.31850.8Top Rise
TuesdayDecreases vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)74.1414-0.2Price fall on slipping relative strength

Business News Round up

Other Publishers

News DateHeadlinePublisher
Apr 27, 2021USD/RUB to head towards 80.00 by end 2022FXSTREET.COM
Apr 19, 2021USD/RUB risks a visit to the 72.65/54 area while below April high at 78.04fxstreet.com
Apr 14, 2021USD/RUB to see a dip as markets price out harsh US sanctionsfxstreet.com
Apr 12, 2021USD/RUB Roubles recent weakness to end soonFXSTREET.COM
Mar 05, 2021USD/RUB A more hawkish CBR provides impetus for a move below 70.00FXSTREET.COM
Feb 23, 2021USD/RUB to head lower again once sanctions are announced Rabobankfxstreet.com



Today's Bullish Signals

Oversold/Bullish Signals:

- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 26.6 has breached the oversold line of 30, suggesting the exchange rate decrease of 1.7% in the last 14 days is unusually high.


Ongoing Bullish Parameters

Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The Best Periods with TSR > 6.1%

TSR %3 yrs10 yrs
USD.CURR6.29.1



Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in the Past [3 Mo, 3 Yrs]; The Best Periods with PVRUB1000 > 1,006

PVRUB1,0003 mo ago3 yrs ago
USD/RUBRUB1,007RUB1,200



The Best Periods [3 Mo, 1 Yr, 3 Yrs] with Change % > 0.6

Change %QuarterYear3 Years
USD/RUB0.70.720



Today's Bearish Signals

Downtrend of USD vs RUB

Negative MACD:
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator of 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 74.66 minus the 26-day EMA of 75.04 is negative, suggesting a bearish signal. Both the 12-day EMA as well as the 26-day EMA are falling, another bearish signal.

Past Month:
- Falls to Rises: In the past month the number of falls outnumbered rises 15:7 or 2.1:1.


Past Quarter:
The Worst 3 weeks in the past quarter:
In the past quarter the steepest fall of 1.9% took place in the week beginning Monday May 03.
Mon-FriChange %
May 03-07-1.9
Feb 08-12-1.3
Mar 08-12-1.2



Relative Strength (6 months) at 22 percentile:
- The USD/RUB has a 6-month relative strength of 22 in the Currency market of 1,998 currencies indicating it is trailing 78% of the global currency market.


Ongoing Bearish Parameters

Rank in the bottom 18% in the Currency Pairs market

DescriptionValueRank
1-week Price Change %-1.0In Bottom 18%
1-month Price Change %-4.2In Bottom 1%



Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The Worst Period with TSR < 2.4%

TSR %5 yrs
USD.CURR2.3



Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in the Past Year; The Worst Period with PVRUB1000 < 994

PVRUB1,0001 yr ago
USD/RUBRUB993



Currency Crossrates

Currency Crossrates Today's Snapshot for USD

USD1=108.665JPYJapanDecreases vs the Japanese Yen (JPY)
USD1=1,119.8144KRWSouth KoreaRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.6% vs the South-Korean Won (KRW)
USD1=19.9655MXNMexicoIncreases vs the Mexican Peso (MXN)
USD1=1.3258SGDSingaporeDecreases vs the Singapore dollar (SGD)
USD1=1.3757NZDNew ZealandRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.2% vs the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
USD1=0.8231EUREuropean UnionDecreases vs the Euro (EUR)
USD1=8.2589NOKNorwayDecreases vs the Norwegian Kroner (NOK)
USD1=0.9037CHFSwitzerlandRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.3% vs the Swiss Franc (CHF)
USD1=8.3162SEKSwedenDecreases vs the Swedish Krona (SEK)
USD1=1.2755AUDAustraliaRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.1% vs the Australian Dollar (AUD)
USD1=0.7071GBPUnited KingdomFalls in 4 out of last 5 days vs the British Pound (GBP)
USD1=1.2097CADCanadaIncreases vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD)
USD1=6.4288CNYChinaIncreases after finding support vs the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY)
USD1=7.7689HKDHong KongIncreases vs the Hong Kong dollar (HKD)



Currency Crossrates Today's Snapshot for RUB

RUB1=0.0096GBPUnited KingdomFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 1.6% vs the British Pound (GBP)
RUB1=15.1216KRWSouth KoreaIncreases 0.5% vs the South-Korean Won (KRW)
RUB1=0.0135USDUnited States Of AmericaDecreases vs the US Dollar (USD)
RUB1=0.2682MXNMexicoDecreases 0.5% vs the Mexican Peso (MXN)
RUB1=1.4678JPYJapanFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 0.4% vs the Japanese Yen (JPY)
RUB1=0.0122CHFSwitzerlandIncreases vs the Swiss Franc (CHF)
RUB1=0.0869CNYChinaIncreases vs the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY)
RUB1=0.105HKDHong KongRises for a sixth consecutive day, a six-day rise of 1.9% vs the Hong Kong dollar (HKD)
RUB1=0.1124SEKSwedenFalls in 4 out of last 5 days vs the Swedish Krona (SEK)
RUB1=0.0179SGDSingaporeIncreases vs the Singapore dollar (SGD)
RUB1=0.1115NOKNorwayIncreases vs the Norwegian Kroner (NOK)
RUB1=0.0172AUDAustraliaIncreases vs the Australian Dollar (AUD)
RUB1=0.0164CADCanadaFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 0.5% vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD)
RUB1=0.0186NZDNew ZealandIncreases vs the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
RUB1=0.0111EUREuropean UnionFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 0.6% vs the Euro (EUR)



Period-Based % Change

% Change of USD vs Currency Basket Period-Based

In the past year the US Dollars rose 0.7% against the Russian Ruble; in the past three years the US Dollars rose 20.0% against the Russian Ruble.

LastCountry1-day %1-week %1-Year %3-Yrs %
USD1=74.141RUBRussia-0.2-1.00.720.0
USD1=0.904CHFSwitzerland0.3-1.1-7.1-9.9
USD1=1.275AUDAustralia--1.7-17.3-3.9
USD1=1.326SGDSingapore--0.8-6.4-0.9
USD1=108.665JPYJapan-0.1-0.60.9-0.7
USD1=8.259NOKNorway--0.9-19.73.2
USD1=6.429CNYChina0.2-0.7-9.41.3
USD1=1.0USDUnited States Of America0.0---
USD1=19.965MXNMexico0.3-1.2-16.53.8
USD1=1,119.814KRWSouth Korea0.3-0.5-8.55.1
USD1=1.21CADCanada--1.7-13.7-5.3
USD1=7.769HKDHong Kong--0.2-1.0
USD1=8.316SEKSweden-0.2-1.9-15.7-3.8
USD1=0.823EUREuropean Union-0.1-1.1-11.0-1.9
USD1=1.376NZDNew Zealand--1.7-16.4-4.2
USD1=0.707GBPUnited Kingdom-0.1-1.8-12.8-4.4



% Change of RUB vs Currency Basket Period-Based

In the past year the Russian Ruble fell 16.8% against the New Zealand Dollar; in the past three years the Russian Ruble fell 20.0% against the New Zealand Dollar.

LastCountry1-day %1-week %1-Year %3-Yrs %
RUB1=0.019NZDNew Zealand0.2-0.7-16.8-20.0
RUB1=0.012CHFSwitzerland0.30.1-7.5-24.7
RUB1=0.018SGDSingapore-0.5-6.8-17.4
RUB1=0.017AUDAustralia0.4-0.4-17.8-19.9
RUB1=0.111NOKNorway0.30.5-19.6-14.0
RUB1=1.468JPYJapan-0.20.70.8-17.2
RUB1=0.087CNYChina0.20.6-9.8-15.5
RUB1=0.268MXNMexico-0.5-0.8-17.3-14.0
RUB1=0.014USDUnited States Of America-1.4-0.3-16.5
RUB1=0.016CADCanada-0.1-0.5-13.8-21.0
RUB1=15.122KRWSouth Korea0.50.8-9.0-12.4
RUB1=0.105HKDHong Kong-1.4-0.1-17.4
RUB1=0.011EUREuropean Union-0.10.2-11.2-18.3
RUB1=0.112SEKSweden-0.1-0.3-15.4-19.7
RUB1=0.01GBPUnited Kingdom-0.3-0.6-13.2-20.4



Historical Perspective

Year-on-Year Comparison USD/RUB (Trailing year - ended 11 May)

In the past 5 years, the USD/RUB has jumped 12% from 66.17 to 74.14, an average compound annual appreciation of the USD by 2.3%.
202120202019201820172016
Close74.1473.6565.1261.9157.166.17
% Change0.713.15.28.4-13.798
Range62.76 - 67.363.99 - 67.56


USD1 buys RUB 74.14 today: Appreciation of USD from 27.02 v/s RUB fifteen years ago
Last5 Yrs ago10 Yrs ago15 Yrs ago
USD/RUB74.1466.1730.9827.02


Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in USD 10 years ago is RUB2,393
PVRUB1,0005 yrs ago10 yrs ago
USD/RUBRUB1,120RUB2,393



Macroeconomic Indicators

INDICATORUNITED STATES[USD]RUSSIA[RUB]
GDP (Billion USD)21,4331,700
GDP growth yoy (%)-2.4-3.4
Interest rate (%)0.254.25
Inflation rate (%)1.45.2
Unemployment rate (%)6.35.8
Budget / (Deficit) to GDP ratio (%)(4.6)(1.8)
Current account / (Deficit) to GDP ratio (%)-2.33.9
Debt to GDP ratio (%)107.612.2



Credit Rating Summary

Russia:
Rating AgencyLong TermForeign CurrencyDescription
FitchBBB-
Moody'sBaa3
S&PBBB-Considered lowest investment grade by market participants. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
FITCHBBB-Good credit quality: 'BBB' ratings indicate that expectations of default risk are currently low. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
DAGONGAHigh Credit Quality: "A" ratings denote expectations of relatively low default risk. The capacity for payment of financial commitments is considered sufficient. However, this capacity may be more vulnerable than those of the higher ratings to adverse business or economic conditions due to any foreseeable event.

United States:
Rating AgencyLong TermForeign CurrencyDescription
MOODYAaa
S&PAA+Very strong capacity to meet financial commitments. The plus (+) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
FITCHAAA Highest credit quality: 'AAA' ratings denote the lowest expectation of default risk. This capacity is highly unlikely to be adversely affected by foreseeable events.
DAGONGA-High Credit Quality: "A" ratings denote expectations of relatively low default risk. The capacity for payment of financial commitments is considered sufficient. However, this capacity may be more vulnerable than those of the higher ratings to adverse business or economic conditions due to any foreseeable event. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.




Source: www.BuySellSignals.com