Monday, October 18, 2021


US Dollar (USD) v/s Russian Ruble (RUB)
USD 1 buys 71.309 RUB

Index (Click on tabs to view details)

Currency Dashboard & Past Week

The US Dollar has increased 0.3% after hitting the lower Bollinger Band four times in the last ten days. This is a bullish signal. The lower Bollinger Band marks the trajectory of support on a US Dollar price.

Currency Dashboard


Trading CountryUSD: United States Of AmericaTrading CountryRUB: Russia
18 Oct, Close USD/RUB 71.309118 Oct, Close RUB/USD 0.014
1-day change (%)USD up 0.3385%1-day change (%)RUB down 0.2135%
YTD change (%)USD down 3.7%YTD change (%)RUB up 4.5%
Relative Strength (6 mo)7.6Relative Strength (6 mo)92.7


+    The USD is down 0.8% against the RUB in the past week.
+    The exchange rate ranged between a low of 71.0686 on Friday, Oct 15 and a high of 72.0162 on Wednesday, Oct 13.
DayUS DollarClose (RUB)Change %Comment
TuesdayFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 0.1% vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)71.8416-0.01Price/MAP200 below 1 and falling
WednesdayIncreases after finding support vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)72.01620.2Week-high of 72.0162
ThursdayDecreases 0.8% vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)71.4079-0.8Steepest Fall
FridayFalls in 4 out of last 5 days vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)71.0686-0.5Week-low of 71.0686
MondayIncreases after finding support vs the Russian Rouble (RUB)71.30910.3Top Rise

Business News Round up

Other Publishers

News DateHeadlinePublisher
Oct 18, 2021USD/RUB to stop its decline at the September 2018 high of 70.64FXSTREET.COM
Oct 11, 2021USD/RUB to slip back towards the September 2018 high at 70.64FXSTREET.COM
Sep 27, 2021USD/RUB once more approaches its current September low at 72.24FXSTREET.COM
Jul 19, 2021USD/RUB Positive rouble reaction if the CBR hikes 75bps or 100bpsFXSTREET.COM



Today's Bearish Signals

Downtrend of USD vs RUB

Negative MACD:
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator of 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 71.85 minus the 26-day EMA of 72.29 is negative, suggesting a bearish signal. Both the 12-day EMA as well as the 26-day EMA are falling, another bearish signal.

Past Month:
- Falls to Rises: In the past month the number of falls outnumbered rises 14:7 or 2:1.


Past Quarter:
The Worst 3 weeks in the past quarter:
In the past quarter the steepest fall of 1.2% took place in the week beginning Monday October 04.
Mon-FriChange %
Oct 04-08-1.2
Aug 30-Sep 03-1.2
Oct 11-15-1.1



Relative Strength (6 months) at 8 percentile:
- The USD/RUB has a 6-month relative strength of 8 in the Currency market of 2,000 currencies indicating it is trailing 92% of the global currency market.


Ongoing Bearish Parameters

Rank in the bottom 23% in the Currency Pairs market

DescriptionValueRank
Price/MAP500.98In Bottom 23%
1-week Price Change %-0.8In Bottom 22%
1-month Price Change %-1.7In Bottom 19%



Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The Worst Periods with TSR < 2.9%

TSR %3 yrs5 yrs
USD.CURR2.82.5



Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in the Past 3 Months; The Worst Period with PVRUB1000 < 964

PVRUB1,0003 mo ago
USD/RUBRUB963



The Worst Periods [3 Mo, 1 Yr] with Change % < -3.6

Change %QuarterYear
USD/RUB-3.7-8.5



Today's Bullish Signals

Oversold/Bullish Signals:

- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 23.6 has breached the oversold line of 30, suggesting the exchange rate decrease of 2.2% in the last 14 days is unusually high.


Ongoing Bullish Parameters

Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The Best Period with TSR > 8.6%

TSR %10 yrs
USD.CURR8.7



Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in the Past [1 Yr, 3 Yrs]; The Best Periods with PVRUB1000 > 1,086

PVRUB1,0001 yr ago3 yrs ago
USD/RUBRUB1,093RUB1,087



Past 3 years: price rise of 8.7%

Change %3 Years
USD/RUB8.7



Currency Crossrates

Currency Crossrates Today's Snapshot for USD

USD1=114.3194JPYJapanIncreases vs the Japanese Yen (JPY)
USD1=1,185.6292KRWSouth KoreaIncreases vs the South-Korean Won (KRW)
USD1=20.3895MXNMexicoIncreases vs the Mexican Peso (MXN)
USD1=1.3496SGDSingaporeIncreases vs the Singapore dollar (SGD)
USD1=1.4115NZDNew ZealandFalls for a fourth consecutive day, a four-day fall of 2.1% vs the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
USD1=0.8612EUREuropean UnionFalls for a fourth consecutive day, a four-day fall of 0.7% vs the Euro (EUR)
USD1=8.4207NOKNorwayDecreases vs the Norwegian Kroner (NOK)
USD1=0.9231CHFSwitzerlandIncreases vs the Swiss Franc (CHF)
USD1=8.6615SEKSwedenIncreases 0.6% vs the Swedish Krona (SEK)
USD1=1.3486AUDAustraliaIncreases after finding support vs the Australian Dollar (AUD)
USD1=0.7283GBPUnited KingdomIncreases vs the British Pound (GBP)
USD1=1.2382CADCanadaIncreases vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD)
USD1=6.4297CNYChinaFalls for a second consecutive day, a two-day fall of 0.2% vs the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY)
USD1=7.7776HKDHong KongIncreases after finding support vs the Hong Kong dollar (HKD)



Currency Crossrates Today's Snapshot for RUB

RUB1=0.0102GBPUnited KingdomDecreases vs the British Pound (GBP)
RUB1=16.6533KRWSouth KoreaRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.6% vs the South-Korean Won (KRW)
RUB1=0.014USDUnited States Of AmericaDecreases after hitting resistance vs the US Dollar (USD)
RUB1=0.2869MXNMexicoDecreases 0.6% vs the Mexican Peso (MXN)
RUB1=1.6032JPYJapanDecreases vs the Japanese Yen (JPY)
RUB1=0.013CHFSwitzerlandDecreases vs the Swiss Franc (CHF)
RUB1=0.0901CNYChinaDecreases vs the Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY)
RUB1=0.109HKDHong KongDecreases vs the Hong Kong dollar (HKD)
RUB1=0.1214SEKSwedenDecreases vs the Swedish Krona (SEK)
RUB1=0.0189SGDSingaporeDecreases vs the Singapore dollar (SGD)
RUB1=0.118NOKNorwayDecreases vs the Norwegian Kroner (NOK)
RUB1=0.019AUDAustraliaRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.8% vs the Australian Dollar (AUD)
RUB1=0.0174CADCanadaRises for a second consecutive day, a two-day rise of 0.6% vs the Canadian Dollar (CAD)
RUB1=0.0199NZDNew ZealandDecreases vs the New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
RUB1=0.0121EUREuropean UnionDecreases vs the Euro (EUR)



Period-Based % Change

% Change of USD vs Currency Basket Period-Based

LastCountry1-day %1-week %1-Year %3-Yrs %
USD1=1.0USDUnited States Of America0.0---
USD1=6.43CNYChina-0.1-0.3-4.0-7.0
USD1=114.319JPYJapan0.10.88.52.3
USD1=0.861EUREuropean Union-0.1-0.50.9-0.2
USD1=1,185.629KRWSouth Korea0.2-0.93.84.4
USD1=1.35SGDSingapore0.1-0.5-0.7-1.9
USD1=1.411NZDNew Zealand-0.2-2.1-6.7-7.0
USD1=0.728GBPUnited Kingdom0.1-1.0-5.8-4.2
USD1=1.349AUDAustralia0.1-0.8-4.5-3.7
USD1=7.778HKDHong Kong--0.4-0.7
USD1=0.923CHFSwitzerland0.1-0.50.9-6.5
USD1=1.238CADCanada0.1-0.9-6.1-4.6
USD1=8.661SEKSweden0.6-1.2-2.0-3.2
USD1=8.421NOKNorway--1.9-10.13.3
USD1=20.389MXNMexico0.2-2.3-3.58.2



% Change of RUB vs Currency Basket Period-Based

In the past three years the Russian Ruble fell 7.8% against the US Dollar. However, in the past year the Russian Ruble rose 9.3% against the US Dollar.

LastCountry1-day %1-week %1-Year %3-Yrs %
RUB1=0.014USDUnited States Of America-0.20.69.3-7.8
RUB1=0.09CNYChina-0.30.35.0-14.6
RUB1=1.603JPYJapan-0.21.918.8-5.9
RUB1=0.012EUREuropean Union-0.20.310.6-8.4
RUB1=16.653KRWSouth Korea0.2-0.113.7-3.8
RUB1=0.019SGDSingapore-0.38.7-9.9
RUB1=0.02NZDNew Zealand-0.2-1.12.5-14.3
RUB1=0.01GBPUnited Kingdom-0.1-0.22.8-11.7
RUB1=0.019AUDAustralia0.3-5.0-11.3
RUB1=0.109HKDHong Kong-0.20.69.7-8.7
RUB1=0.013CHFSwitzerland-0.20.310.6-13.6
RUB1=0.017CADCanada0.1-2.7-12.2
RUB1=0.121SEKSweden--0.47.1-11.1
RUB1=0.118NOKNorway-0.1-0.9-1.5-5.0
RUB1=0.287MXNMexico-0.6-0.85.5-0.1



Historical Perspective

Year-on-Year Comparison USD/RUB (Trailing year - ended 18 Oct)

In the past 5 years, the USD/RUB has jumped 13.5% from 62.81 to 71.31, an average compound annual appreciation of the USD by 2.6%.
202120202019201820172016
Close71.3177.9163.8165.8257.4262.81
% Change-8.522.1-3.114.6-8.687.9


USD1 buys RUB 71.31 today: Appreciation of USD from 26.98 v/s RUB fifteen years ago
Last5 Yrs ago10 Yrs ago15 Yrs ago
USD/RUB71.3162.9730.9826.98


Present Value of RUB1000 Invested in USD 10 years ago is RUB2,301
PVRUB1,0005 yrs ago10 yrs ago
USD/RUBRUB1,132RUB2,301



Macroeconomic Indicators

INDICATORUNITED STATES[USD]RUSSIA[RUB]
GDP (Billion USD)21,4331,700
GDP growth yoy (%)-2.4-3.4
Interest rate (%)0.254.25
Inflation rate (%)1.45.2
Unemployment rate (%)6.35.8
Budget / (Deficit) to GDP ratio (%)(4.6)(1.8)
Current account / (Deficit) to GDP ratio (%)-2.33.9
Debt to GDP ratio (%)107.612.2



Credit Rating Summary: RUSSIA

Rating AgencyLong TermForeign CurrencyDescription
FitchBBB-
Moody'sBaa3
S&PBBB-Considered lowest investment grade by market participants. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
FITCHBBB-Good credit quality: 'BBB' ratings indicate that expectations of default risk are currently low. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
DAGONGAHigh Credit Quality: "A" ratings denote expectations of relatively low default risk. The capacity for payment of financial commitments is considered sufficient. However, this capacity may be more vulnerable than those of the higher ratings to adverse business or economic conditions due to any foreseeable event.

UNITED STATES
Rating AgencyLong TermForeign CurrencyDescription
MOODYAaa
S&PAA+Very strong capacity to meet financial commitments. The plus (+) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.
FITCHAAA Highest credit quality: 'AAA' ratings denote the lowest expectation of default risk. This capacity is highly unlikely to be adversely affected by foreseeable events.
DAGONGA-High Credit Quality: "A" ratings denote expectations of relatively low default risk. The capacity for payment of financial commitments is considered sufficient. However, this capacity may be more vulnerable than those of the higher ratings to adverse business or economic conditions due to any foreseeable event. The minus (-) sign shows relative standing within the major rating category.




Source: www.BuySellSignals.com